A brand new Arizona ballot finds Kamala Harris main Donald Trump 44%-41% in the important thing swing state.
AZ Highground wrote about their poll:
The survey confirmed that Harris began the presidential race with a slim margin, receiving 44.4% of the vote, whereas 41.6% of probably voters supported Trump. The two.8-percentage-point lead was inside the survey’s margin of error. Harris’ lead is supported by 86.5% of the Democratic base; trump card
Help amongst Republican voters stands at 79.5%, a decline witnessed by different MAGA candidates in Arizona in 2022.
Harris has the help of a majority of feminine voters (51% Harris/36% Trump), whereas Trump leads amongst male voters by 10 factors (37.2% Harris/47.7% Trump). Harris has received a number of help amongst younger voters, whereas Trump’s greatest supporters are voters aged 50 to 64. Each candidates are evenly break up between Arizona’s all-important 65-and-older demographic.
Within the Senate race, Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Kari Lake by 11 factors (rounded: 50%-39%).
Arizona has been a Trump election goal. The state is likely one of the most important causes he has made immigration and border points his high precedence.
Trump wants Arizona. Harris has a number of paths to the White Home open to her. She will cross the Solar Belt by successful Arizona, Nevada and Georgia and one in every of Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, or she will be able to win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. If Trump loses Arizona, he should win Georgia and Pennsylvania to get 270 electoral votes.
For Democrats, it is a good signal that Harris’ momentum is beginning to present up in polls in key battleground states like Arizona.