Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of is again to supply his insights on each Premier League match and supply recommendation for the treble weekend of 11/1.
Southampton vs Manchester United, Saturday 12:30
Russell Martin has had some teething issues within the Premier League.
They appear comfy on the ball and inventive of their build-up play, making Saints seem like a Premier League facet largely, however their dangerous technique of attacking from the again is costing them Paid a heavy value.
they’re Sky Bet’s 8/13 favorites One factor United are superb at below Erik ten Hag is placing apart the weak lights within the Premier League. When he wants outcomes, the Dutchman is often chosen.
In 20 away video games in opposition to groups ranked within the decrease half this season, Manchester United has achieved 14 wins, 4 attracts and a couple of losses. In the meantime, their file on the street in opposition to relegated groups is six wins from six video games and solely two objectives conceded. Manchester United win by below 3.5 objectives 6/4 with Sky Bet – It needs to be shut.
Rating prediction: 0-1
Brighton v Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
Is Brighton actual? Three video games into the Fabian Huerzeller period, the market is screaming for them.
Primarily based on the general odds, they’re as prone to end within the high 4 as Manchester United (9/2 with Sky Bet) and has returned to 13/8 to complete within the high six, having began the season on a a lot bigger scale.
The absence of any European soccer actually works of their favor – as does a variety of attacking choices throughout their ahead line, comparable to Kaoru Mitoma, whose goal-price appears overpriced 2/1 with Sky Bet In a winnable sport for Brighton.
The Japanese star appears again on his greatest performances of the 2022/23 season, when he scored a purpose virtually each different sport within the Amex Premier League. He can win at dwelling.
Rating prediction: 3-1
Crystal Palace v Leicester Metropolis, Saturday 3pm
I have never seen any stable proof that Leicester Metropolis have sufficient firepower to keep away from relegation this season.
They’ve produced simply 1.33 anticipated objectives from open play of their three video games thus far, and in opposition to Aston Villa final weekend, though Villa’s 2-1 scoreline regarded nerve-wracking, However they nonetheless appear to lack creativity. Way more comfy than that.
In the meantime, Oliver Glasner ought to be capable of get Palace shifting in the appropriate course as soon as the switch window closes. Crystal Palace got here out the opposite facet in higher form than many anticipated.
I used to be impressed with their second-half efficiency at Chelsea, and the introduction of forgotten man Cheike Doucoure has utterly revitalized their midfield.
He and Adam Wharton may type an excellent partnership there – which ought to make them a routine win at dwelling, with Crystal Palace successful by below 3.5 objectives . 13/8 with Sky Bet Value a re-assessment.
Rating prediction: 2-0
Fulham v West Ham, Saturday 3pm
West Ham left-back Emerson Palmieri might have his palms full, led by Fulham’s rejuvenated Adama Traore on the appropriate. When the opponent’s left again confronts a powerful winger, the opponent’s left again is all the time accountable for playing cards and fouls.
Traore has been carded 64 instances by opponents within the Premier League, and he and proper again Kenny Tate have been fouled eight instances in three video games this season.
The worth is like 6/4 with Sky Bet Emerson’s two fouls and the 9/2 that he was carded had been broadcast reside. When you mix the 2, you may summon a 7/1 shot through Sky Guess’s BuildABet characteristic.
Rating prediction: 1-1
Liverpool v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm – Play Super 6 here!
Nottingham Forest’s defensive course of below Nuno Espirito Santo deserves extra respect than the market is giving them. Within the 24 video games since he took over, solely Manchester Metropolis, Arsenal and Liverpool have the next anticipated objectives than Forest (1.24 per 90), they usually have conceded simply 4 of their final 17 video games. Scored 2 or extra objectives.
I can belief them to maintain this sport tight.
Underneath Arne Slott, Liverpool performed with extra management and fewer chaos, which hampered their attacking efficiency within the first half. They shot simply 3-5-4 within the first half in opposition to Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United and had extra objectives than they anticipated earlier than the break.
The entire variety of objectives on this sport was anticipated to be over 3, which appeared excessive, however the quantity within the first half was below 1.5. 8/11 with Sky Bet This appears to be the most secure solution to rating a purpose again.
Rating prediction: 1-0 | Best bet Jones knows: Under 1.5 goals in first half (8/11 with Sky Bet – 11/1 Part of weekend treble!)
Manchester Metropolis v Brentford, Saturday 3pm – Play Super 6 here!
Given Metropolis’s relentlessness and focus firstly of the season, this could flip right into a predictable betting frenzy as soon as once more, with the likes of a Metropolis win and Erling Haaland purpose prone to be on the playing cards.
We would have liked to get inventive and discover an angle and the Brentford offside line was two or extra offside conditions on 10/11 and Sky Guess had a very good probability. The Bees have been known as out for offside 20 instances of their previous 5 conferences with Manchester Metropolis, with “two or extra” strains falling every time. They do transfer the ball ahead shortly and Metropolis’s excessive line does imply there’s all the time an opportunity for opponents to go offside.
Rating prediction: 3-1
Aston Villa v Everton, Saturday, 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play Super 6 here!
Jarrad Branthwaite is changing into a greater participant with each sport he misses for Everton, who’ve missed him 5 instances on six events because the begin of final season Misplaced video games, conceding a mean of two.5 objectives per sport. It is changing into a nightmare for Sean Dyche because the noise round Goodison Park will get louder and louder.
Aston Villa gained 12 of 18 video games in opposition to groups ranked twelfth or decrease final season and had been unbeaten in all 10 dwelling Premier League video games in opposition to groups within the backside half, successful eight .
The truth that Ollie Watkins was given a while to recharge throughout the worldwide break would not bode properly for Everton both. The Villa striker has failed to attain in his final seven video games in all competitions, lacking six large possibilities. That does not fear me, although – he is a deadly finisher and will not let this run go on for lengthy. Villa win, Watkins scores 7/4 with Sky Bet Seems like a winner in ready.
Rating prediction: 3-1 | Jones knows the best bet: Ollie Watkins scores in Aston Villa win (7/4 at Sky Bet – part of weekend treble 11/1)
Bournemouth v Chelsea, Saturday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play Super 6 here!
It will likely be an brisk watch. Within the 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace, Chelsea’s assault regarded scorching at instances, however additionally they made errors at key moments within the sport, which restricted their skill to transform simple play into victory.
Bournemouth, in the meantime, did not win any of their 12 Premier League video games in opposition to final season’s high six – taking simply two factors from a attainable 36 video games – and look to be no higher this season. So flawless, conceding 25 pictures in 4 video games in all competitions. Targets ought to seem on the menu with the scorer’s value displayed always, e.g. 15/8 with Sky Bet Antoine Semenyo and Noni Madueke’s 2/1 may each produce good outcomes for punters.
Rating prediction: 2-2
Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play Super 6 here!
With choice points in Arsenal’s midfield, with out Martin Odegaard and Declan Rice, I may see Mikel Arteta treating this sport as an away Champions League knockout tie, filled with partisanship Environment. Leaving there with a degree could be thought-about a very good outcome.
This will probably be a low-stakes sport of soccer aimed toward silencing the house followers at each alternative and I am certain Arsenal will be capable of frustrate Spurs with their wonderful away file. Arsenal, who may take 30 factors from away video games in 2024, have already taken 28 factors and have but to fall behind on the street this yr. This can be a defensive unit that has allowed simply three objectives in these 10 video games.
The way in which to frustrate Anj Postkoglu’s facet is to defend in numbers and block overloaded assaults out extensive, as Spurs should not superb at avenue techniques in the case of attempting to interrupt down low defences. They’re changing into a staff that takes a whole lot of pictures, however their anticipated objectives returns do not fairly match up – which factors to the issue of making high quality possibilities.
I believe Arsenal can maintain this sport on a low-scoring path 11/8, Sky Bet Under 2.5 goals represents great value.
Rating prediction: 1-1 | Best bet Jones knows: Under 2.5 goals (11/8 at Sky Bet – Part of the 7/1 Weekend Treble!
Wolves v Newcastle, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – Play Super 6 here!
Anticipating a decent battle in midfield is strictly what my betting intuition dictates.
Newcastle’s trio of Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, and presumably Sandro Tonali confronted the midfield and dedicated a whole lot of fouls. When you add up their common variety of fouls final season, they dedicated 5.8 fouls per 90 video games. Even this season, Joelinton and Guimaraes have dedicated a mixed 18 fouls within the Premier League.
I count on comparable averages heading into Molineux and I like Wolves midfielder Mario Lemina’s price ticket in comparison with the foul spree in Newcastle’s midfield. He has dedicated 15 fouls in his final 14 video games for Wolves, together with two in final weekend’s 1-1 draw with Forest. 7/2 with Sky Bet He was fouled twice and regarded like a runner.