FantasySCOTUS October 2023 semester is lastly over. This time period, Chief Justice Roberts has solidified himself as the middle of the court docket, whereas Justice Barrett continues to tell apart herself from different Trump appointees. General, the phrase is extra predictable than it has been in recent times. FantasySCOTUS prediction market did it very good. General, our cohort precisely predicted 83.05% of circumstances, up from 75% final semester and 81% final semester.
I’m happy to announce that the Chief Justice is Brady Kelly. Brady has now received the sport two years in a row. Gamers obtain 10 factors for every accurately predicted decide’s vote. We recorded 59 deserves circumstances (DIG not included). The total rating is 5900 factors. Brady scores 4,950 points. 2021 Extra time Champion Invoice Corteal completed second 4,750 points.
Listed below are the highest 10:
I launched Brady on this article final 12 months. This 12 months, I requested him to supply extra particulars on how he makes his predictions. Listed below are his feedback:
This semester, I modified my method and made a prediction for every case earlier than the oral argument. I made adjustments as wanted after oral argument, however I respect A) with the ability to kind an opinion earlier than seeing a doubtlessly deceptive headline, and B) with the ability to (alone) maintain myself accountable for the prediction with out oral argument. Apparently, Justice Gorsuch was the least correct predictor of me earlier than oral argument and probably the most correct predictor of me after oral argument. In probably the most troublesome case, I discovered FBI v. . thought Difficult and discovering Moore v. United States The toughest to grasp. However to be trustworthy, I am glad there aren’t any extra habeas corpus circumstances. In some circumstances I guessed the end result accurately however flawed the way to calculate it (e.g. de Villiers v. Texas), after which a number of others that I do not suppose are terribly troublesome however are nonetheless terribly flawed (e.g. Snyder v. United States). I feel the three best to foretell are NRA v. I feel, LePage Bakeryand Sheets (At the very least QP itself). It appears there are some very troublesome issues ready to come up sooner or later Sheets– kind case.
Congratulations to Brady and everybody else concerned. FantasySCOTUS Season 16 launches on the primary Monday in October.