undergo Didier Bicolimana, BBC Nice Lakes Service
Rwanda’s President Paul Kagame left little room for enchancment in Monday’s election after taking practically 99% of the vote within the earlier spherical.
The dimensions of his victory in 2017, alongside together with his 95% victory margin in 2003 and 93% in 2010, raises some questions on how democratic the election really was.
The previous refugee and insurgent chief confidently dismissed the criticism.
“Some individuals suppose it’s one hundred pc not a democracy,” Mr Kagame informed hundreds of cheering supporters at a marketing campaign rally in western Rwanda final month.
Referring to elections elsewhere, he added: “There are lots of people getting elected with 15 per cent… Is that democracy?” How?
The president insists that what occurs in Rwanda is Rwanda’s enterprise.
His supporters agreed, shouting “They need to come and be taught” whereas waving the purple, white and sky-blue flags of the ruling Rwanda Patriotic Entrance (RPF) occasion.
Over 6 toes (1.83m) tall and burly, the 66-year-old father of 4 appeared severe and dignified within the crowd. He can smile and inform a joke or two, however the bespectacled chief typically wears the look of a disenchanted elder.
His mushy, considerate supply forces listeners to concentrate, and when he speaks, he’s normally very direct and barely beats across the bush.
Even in conditions the place he used extra non-public or diplomatic language, he used hints to let individuals know what he was speaking about.
Mr. Kagame’s life has been affected by the battle between Rwanda’s Tutsi and Hutu ethnic teams.
To beat this downside, his authorities now insists that persons are Rwandans fairly than a selected ethnic group.
Mr Kagame has been president since 2000 and is presently operating for a fourth time period, however has been the East African nation’s true chief since July 1994. The Hutu extremist authorities that orchestrated the genocide.
He initially served as Vice President and Secretary of Protection.
Lots of his supporters, together with some main Western politicians, reward him for bringing stability and reconstruction to Rwanda after a mass genocide that noticed 800,000 Tutsis and reasonable Hutus killed.
Some have accused his then-rebels of finishing up revenge killings on the time, however his authorities has all the time stated the incidents have been remoted and that the perpetrators have been punished.
The president will not be behind in criticizing the West, however he has generally exploited guilt over his failure to stop genocide to realize Western help.
Rwanda was additionally a companion and monetary beneficiary of a now-abandoned British scheme to ship asylum seekers to the nation.
“After all I’ll vote for PK,” stated college pupil Marie Jeanne, referring to Mr Kagame’s initials.
“You see how nicely I research. If he weren’t the president, I may not be capable to research nicely due to my insecurity.
To her, the reply was apparent who she would vote for, however there have been two different names on the poll for the 9 million registered voters to contemplate.
The Democratic Inexperienced Get together’s Frank Habineza and the Unbiased’s Philippe Mpaimana will each run once more in a repeat of the presidential election seven years in the past.
Nonetheless, within the final spherical they acquired simply over 1% of the vote.
Different political events are additionally backing Mr Kagame’s bid for president.
Opposition politician Diane Rwigara, an outspoken critic of Mr Kagame, was banned from operating on the grounds that she didn’t submit the right paperwork, which she noticed as an excuse to halt the marketing campaign.
Mr Kagame has additionally been accused of silencing different potential opponents via imprisonment and intimidation. He as soon as informed Al Jazeera information channel that he was to not blame for the weak opposition.
His highly effective spy community is alleged to have carried out a collection of cross-border assassinations and kidnappings.
They’re even stated to be concentrating on their former boss, former intelligence chief Colonel Patrick Kareggia, who fled Rwanda after a falling out with Mr Kagame.
He was murdered in 2014 in a collection at an upscale resort in South Africa’s important metropolis of Johannesburg.
“They actually hung him up tight with ropes,” stated David Batenga, Colonel Kareggia’s nephew.
Mr Kagame has accomplished little to distance himself from the killing, whereas officers have denied any involvement.
“You can’t betray Rwanda with impunity,” he stated at a prayer assembly shortly afterwards. “Anybody, even those that are nonetheless alive, will undergo the results. Everyone. It is only a matter of time.”
The president’s pursuit of home safety has led him to ship troops into neighboring Democratic Republic of Congo and say they’re looking Hutu insurgent teams. Rwanda has additionally been accused of supporting the M23 insurgent group there – one thing it denies regardless of overwhelming proof, together with a recent report.
“to be sincere, [the election] It is a farce,” stated Filip Reyntjens, reflecting on the ballot. The Belgian political scientist is an skilled on the Nice Lakes area.
“After all I do not know what is going to occur this time, however earlier elections have been…a circus.
“What I imply is that the Nationwide Electoral Fee is accountable for the votes and never for counting them,” he claimed, citing the most recent report of the European Union (EU) Observer Mission in 2003 and the 2010 Commonwealth Observer Mission report.
Rwanda’s Electoral Fee stated on its web site that it conducts “free, honest and clear elections to advertise democracy and good governance in Rwanda”.
“For me, Rwanda’s upcoming presidential elections are not any huge deal,” stated Dr. Joseph Sebarenzi, Rwanda’s former speaker of parliament, who misplaced his dad and mom and plenty of relations through the genocide and now lives in exile in the USA.
“An election is sort of a soccer match the place the organizers are additionally individuals, selecting different contestants, ordering individuals to take part within the sport, and everybody is aware of the predetermined winner however should act as if the sport is actual.”
Mr Kagame, an avid soccer fan who carefully follows Premier League membership Arsenal, rejects that characterization.
He was born right into a rich household in central Rwanda in 1957, the youngest of 5 kids.
Nonetheless, when he was solely two years outdated, he fled persecution and bloodbath within the late Nineteen Fifties together with his household and hundreds of members of the Tutsi minority and have become a refugee in neighboring Uganda.
Though he was only a child on the time, Mr Kagame stated he nonetheless “remembers searching to the subsequent mountain. We may see individuals burning down the homes there.
“They have been killing individuals. My mom was determined. She did not wish to go away this place,” the president informed US journalist and unofficial biographer Stephen Kinzer.
These killings got here after Belgian colonists modified the ethnic teams they supported in favor of an rising ruling elite from the bulk Hutu group, a few of whom suffered abuse beneath the Tutsi monarchy.
Rwanda gained independence in 1962.
Within the late Nineteen Seventies, Mr. Kagame made a collection of secret visits again dwelling.
Whereas within the capital Kigali, he frequented a specific resort in Kyovu, one of many metropolis’s wealthiest neighbourhoods. Its bars are widespread with politicians, safety officers and civil servants who chat over beers after get off work.
Kanazawa writes that future leaders would hearken to their conversations whereas consuming orange sodas and sitting alone at tables, avoiding consideration.
These visits to his homeland heightened his curiosity within the artwork of espionage.
He acquired navy intelligence coaching in Uganda and took part in that nation’s profitable rebel led by Yoweri Museveni, who got here to energy in 1986. acquired additional coaching.
He then led a primarily Tutsi insurgent military into Rwanda in 1990.
“[The training] Very helpful. Cuba was fairly superior in intelligence throughout its warfare with the USA and its contacts with Russia. And political schooling: What’s the wrestle for? How do you keep it? he informed Mr. Kanazawa.
He has tried to maintain the wrestle by concentrating on financial growth – Mr Kagame prompt Rwanda emulate Singapore or South Korea and develop inside a era.
Though Rwanda failed to attain its aim of changing into a middle-income nation by 2020, Professor Reyntjens stated “it’s a well-governed nation”.
“The issue in Rwanda is political governance, there isn’t a degree taking part in area, no area for opposition, no freedom of speech, [which] The achievements of fine technocratic governance might be undone.
However Mr Kagame insists the massive variety of supporters who’ve gathered at his rallies is only one instance of the belief and love Rwandans have for him and their need for him to stay as chief, despite the fact that he has stated he’ll domesticate Create a successor.
Because of constitutional adjustments, he may theoretically stay in energy till 2034.
Addressing the difficulty of his time in energy in a stay interview with state broadcaster final month, Mr Kagame stated “the context of every nation” was vital.
“[The West says]: “Oh, you stayed there too lengthy.” However that is none of your enterprise. That is the enterprise of those individuals right here.
1000’s of miles away in the USA, Dr. Sebalenzi stated he didn’t know what the long run held for his homeland, affectionately often known as the Land of a Thousand Hills, however added: “Historical past exhibits that the pinnacle of state is extra highly effective. In international locations with restricted entry to state establishments, adjustments in energy can grow to be violent, resulting in chaos within the post-regime interval.